I Know First

Stock Market Forecast Based on Our State-Of-The-Art Predictive Algorithm
- August 28th, 2016 -
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1. Strongest Performances Since Last Week:
Within the past week, I Know First's strongest performances came from the Stocks Under 10 Dollars, Risk-Conscious, and 52-Weeks Low packages. The highest returning stock was CWEI from the Risk-Conscious package with 109.50%. Other stocks that returned over 100% include HTWR with 103.51% and AXDX with 100.43%, both from the 52-Weeks Low package. The I Know Fist average returns for these forecasts were 16.72%, 27.13%, and 37.52%. These easily dwarfed the S&P 500's average returns of 0.28%, 0.81%, and 6.35%

2. Greatest Short-Term Returns:
In the 3-day time horizon, the largest returns came from the HealthCare, Biotech, and Fundamental packages. This stock returned 26.67% in just 3 days . Other noteworthy stock returns include WINT, BVX, and MDVN with 25.32%, 21.29%, and 19.69%, all achieved in a matter of 3 days. The averages for these forecasts were 6.96%, 5.93%, and 5.28%, which significantly outperformed the S&P 500's near stagnant 0.08% and -0.20%.

3. Weeklong Returns Reaching About 50%:
The greatest 7-day long forecasts were from the Stock Under 10 Dollars, HealthCare, and Small Cap packages. The best return came from BVX with 49.49% in both the Stocks Under 10 Dollars and HealthCare packages. MDVN and RTK increased significantly as well with 22.92% and 17.98% in this 7-day time period. The I Know First averages were 10.54%, 10.11%, and 8.63% within 7 days as opposed to the weak S&P 500's small dip of -0.06%, -0.09%, and -0.15%. 
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4. Excellent 2-Week Returns
In the last 14 days, the greatest growth packages were the Small Cap, 52 Weeks High Stocks, and another 52 Weeks High Stocks. The most significant increase came from a stock in the Small Cap package with 57.34%. HWAY, CWEI, and KTOS also returned a strong 41.53%, 33.02%, and 32.20%. These forecasts averaged 12.62%, 12.42%, and 11.54% which easily beat out the S&P 500's -0.29%, -0.01%, and 0.21%.

5. Month-Long Returns Reach 87.24%

The Small CapFundamental, and Currency Forecast were the most notable 30-day packages this week. CWEI returned 87.24% in both the Small Cap and Fundamental packages. CDTI and DPW also performed well with 55.13% and 33.81%. The Currencies Forecast hit ratio was a strong 84.62%. The other packages had average returns of 18.04% and 15.07% compared to the S&P 500's 0.03%.

6. Returns up to 178.67% in 3 Months
The most impressive 3-month returns came from the Brazil Stocks, Hedge Fund Stocks, and Small Cap packages. This stock returned 178.67% in this three-month time period. CWEI and HTWR performed superbly returning 135.64% and 103.51% from the Small Cap and Hedge Fund Stocks packages. The I Know First averages for these forecasts were 53.42%, 28.25%, and 24.43%. This shadowed the S&P 500's 4.64%, 6.22%, and 6.56%.
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  1. A little over a year ago an I Know First analyst wrote an article predicting the rebound of AMD. He explained how AMD was at an all time low, and would make a comeback. AMD has since made new products to allow themselves to better compete against Nvidia and Intel. Strong Q1 and Q2 earnings had given AMD stimulus for a stock increase. The largest stock increase, for AMD, was as a result of their licensing agreement with China, allowing them to sell many more products now and for the upcoming several years. The I Know First algorithm as well was bullish on AMD for the past year. AMD rose 330% since the article was published proving our analyst and the algorithm correct.
  2. This article, published on August 22nd, 2015, discusses the prospect of a stock increase for HIMX. HIMX being deeply imbedded in the Chinese market, thus consisting of large part of its revenue. Recently, demand had fallen for electronic products that require display drivers. The devaluation of the Yuan has also adversely affected HIMX. The analyst predicted that these problems would disappear as China has increased smartphone users year after year which will raise demand. HIMX has also released new products being used in smartphones and other mart electronics which allow the company to better compete. The I Know First algorithm was bullish on HIMX. Since last year, HIMX has risen 47% in accordance with our analyst's and the algorithm's predictions.
  3. On June 6th, 2016, an I Know First financial analyst published an article about MU. It discussed the outstanding revenue earned in May and how this will affect their earnings. Analysts had also agreed that MU would outperform the market. The analyst also maintained that earnings will be high in the second quarter of 2016. The stock as well received a bullish signal from the I Know First algorithm. The algorithm and analyst had both correctly predicted the bullish outcome for MU, and the stock had increased 25% since the article was published.
Get Today's Top 10 Stock Picks Based on Algorithms
Algorithmic Performance Review & Articles
Algorithmic Trading: Swing Trading Based on Machine learning
Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st  2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year.
Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77.
Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87.
With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.

You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
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Routine Algorithmic Performance
I Know First provides retail investorshedge fund managersfamily office managers & financial advisors with tailored algorithmic services. 
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Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface

I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.

Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.

Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease. 

Read More Here

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