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Stock Market Forecast Based on Our State-Of-The-Art Predictive Algorithm
- January 8th, 2017 -
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1. Top Predictions Return Over 50% In 1 Month
During the past week, I Know First's self-learning had prediction superb returns for a range of time frames. Our 1 month predictions were the top performers, with this Low Price To Sales Fundamentals Stocks forecast being the top prediction. Investors had an overall average return of 17.06% and returns reaching 53.03% with TGB, a mining firm. Additionally, this 1 month Small Cap Stocks forecast had impressive returns for investors reaching 53%. The forecast gave investors a market premium of 13.17% above the S&P 500's return of 3.59%. For both 1 month forecasts, half predictions had double digit growth of price per share from the underlying stocks predicted

2. Short Term Trading Stocks Yield Over 45% In 3 Days
Using deep learning, I Know First is able to predict short term trends in the stock market. This Insiders Stocks forecast, which tracks insider trades regulated by SEC, had returns reaching 45.19% from BIOS, and had an overall forecast average of 12.08% in Just 3 days. Additionally, this Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast gave investors an average return of almost 11% in 3 days. Those seeking more risky investment opportunity sets were able to achieve short term returns of 20% from this Aggressive Stocks forecast. The self-learning algorithm had as well forecasted returns for baskets of stocks, using ETFs, and this ETFs Forecast had an overall average of almost 7% and returns reaching 35.08%.

3. Over 27% ROI In 7 Days
The top 7 day forecast this week came from this Insiders Stocks forecast, with an overall average return of 8.14% and the highest return at almost 25% with FGP. Additional high returns came from Small Cap Stocks forecast, which provided investors returns over 19% and a market premium of 7.17% in 7 days. Investors were as well able to achieve high 7 day returns from this Basic Industry Stocks forecast at 27.52% from UEC, a uranium exploration firm. 
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4. 14 Day Predictions Achieve 32% Return
This Low High Short Ratio Fundamental Stocks forecast was the top 14 day prediction this past week. The forecast had an overall average growth of 6.01% and returns reaching 20.74% from PERI. From the healthcare sector, algorithmic predictions reaching returns of 32.08% from this stock found in this HealthCare Stocks forecast. The forecast had as well an overall return of 6.22%, with an alpha of 5.64% above the S&P 500's Index.

5. ROE of 87% In 90 Days
I Know First's self-learning algorithm had predicted high 3 month predictions, with returns up to 87.04% and an average return of 31.13% from this Low Price To Sales Fundamentals Stocks forecast. Additionally, investors interested in investing in the banking industry had returns over 49% from PFBC in this Bank Stocks forecast. Using pattern recognition, our algorithm had successfully predicted almost a 76% return from PES in this Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast. The forecast had as well provided investors with overall average of 25.36%. 

6. Almost 6X ROI In 1 Year 
Investors were able to to achieve long-term average returns of 52.38% from this Dividend Stocks forecast. The forecast had included firms that provided dividends throughout the year in addition to the high price per share growth. Additionally, investors interested in the technology sector had returns reach 298.26% an had an overall average of almost 38% with this Tech Stocks forecast. This Bank Stocks forecast had returns which more than doubled investments in 1 year with ITUB, and an overall average of 42.87% during the same time. 

7. Swing Trading Strategies Reach Almost 77%
I Know First's algorithmic indicators can be used to backtest various short term trading strategies. The top strategy had yielded up to a 66.13% alpha above the S&P500 Index, from January till November 29th, 2016. Read the full trade report for a more detailed analysis with charts and graphs, depicting a high reward to risk payoff with low Betas and high Sharpe Ratios.

 
 
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  1. On May 30th, 2016, an I Know First analyst wrote a bullish article on Alphabet (GOOG), in accordance with a long-term bullish prediction by I Know First's self-learning algorithm. The analyst explained that Google's advertising business and mobile market share dominance with android, makes the firm a great value opportunity for investors. Since the bullish prediction, Google shares have risen by over 11% to date.
  2. In 1 month, Transocean (RIG) shares have risen almost 13% as forecasted by I Know First's AI-based algorithm on December 6th, 2016. The algorithmic prediction was complimented by one of I Know First's analyst's bullish articles, explaining that their fundamentals and OPEC's output cut promise would help propel the stock price. 
  3. Last year, on June 22nd, 2016, an I Know First analyst wrote a bullish article on Nvidia (NVDA), describing its market share dominance in chip production, such as GPU, and its continual investments in machine learning. The article was in addition to I Know First's self-learning algorithm's prediction. To date, NVDA shares have more than doubled, with a 116.78% increase, in accordance with the algorithmic prediction.
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Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st  2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year.
Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77.
Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87.
With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.


You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
 
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Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface

I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.

Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.

Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease. 

Read More Here

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