I Know First

Stock Market Forecast Based on Our State-Of-The-Art Predictive Algorithm
- February 19th, 2017 -
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1. Top Performing Algorithmic Forecasts This Week
The most impressive forecasts this week had 1 month horizons and came from this Fundamental Stocks forecast, Small Cap Stocks forecast, and Biotech Stocks forecast. PLX was the top earning stocks this week, with a 219.51% in 1 month. The Fundamental package had as well high returns from TGB and CIG at 27.35% and 26.92%, respectively. Investors had earned an overall average of 25.82%, 23.41%, and 21.22%, respectively. These averages had surpassed the S&P 500's return by almost 20% for all the packages.

2. Short-Term Forecasts Return Over 48% 
For the 3-day time horizon, the top forecast this week came from this Pharma Stocks forecast, with an overall average of 8.59% in just 3 days. PPHM was the top earning stock, yielding 48.65% in just 3 days. This Fundamentals Stock forecast had well as superb returns from MATN and INVE with 36.73% and 26.74%, respectively. Additionally, with an 80% forecast accuracy, this Biotech Stocks forecast had provided investors with over a 6% market premium in 3 days and an overall average of 7.62%. During the past 3 days, stocks from the technology sector had an excellance performance as predicted by the AI-based algorithm. This Tech Stocks forecast had returns reaching 29.24% from HIMX. 

3. Superb Returns In 7 Day Predictions
I Know First's top 7 day prediction came from PLX with a 58.23% in this Biotech Stocks forecast. The forecast had an 80% accuracy rate, offering investors an overall average of 11.10%. Other packages with notable 7 day returns came from this Fundamental Stocks forecast and Top 10 Stocks forecast. These packages include high returns from MATN, GOL, INVE, and VRX at 44.90%, 28.20%, 21.74%, and 18.32%. The forecasts had overall average package returns of 10.44% and 5.67%, respectively. 

4. Investors Almost Double Returns In 14 Days
In 14 days, the highest earning stock was PLX with a 98.41% return from this Fundamental Stocks forecast. Other high returning forecasts was this Pharma Stocks Forecast and 52 Week Low Stocks forecast. These forecasts had a 14 day averages of 13.05%, 14.72%, and 12.40%, respectively. Furthermore, high earning stocks during this time horizon were PPHM, MSB, ELLI, and MDCO at 77.42%, 15.33%, 14.41%, and 16.19%, respectively. The Pharma Stocks package had the highest premium of 12.38% above the S&P 500.
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5. Mid-Term Stocks Outperform Market Returns 
For the 3 month time horizon, this Stocks Under 10 Dollars was I Know First's top forecast with an overall average of 27.05%, and an accuracy of 80%. ARRY had the highest growth in this forecast at 78.16%. This Top 10 Stocks forecast had as well impressive returns yielding 50% with FNMA. The forecast had 100% accuracy level and had outperformed the S&P 500's 8.55% return by 15%. ARIA had more than doubled investors' ROI with a 108.66% return from this Fundamental Stocks forecast. The forecast had an average return of 30.17% during the 3 month period. 

6. Over 300% Growth In 1 Year 
I Know First's 1 year forecasts had excellent returns yielding high growth from the Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast, Brazil Stocks forecast, and Basic Industry Stocks forecast. ARIA had the highest performance with 393.62% return from this Stocks Under 10 Dollars forecast. The forecast had an average return of almost 115%, with five stocks returning over 153% in 1 year. Additionally, both the Brazil and Basic Industry forecasts had a 100% accuracy level, with averages of 181% and almost 124%, respectively. 

7. Swing Trading Strategies Reach Over 76% In 1 Year 
I Know First's algorithmic indicators can be used to backtest various short term trading strategies. The top strategy had yielded up to a 62.2% alpha above the S&P500 Index, from January, 2016 till February 1st, 2017. Read the full trade report for a more detailed analysis with charts and graphs, depicting a high reward to risk payoff with low Betas and high Sharpe Ratios.

8. I Know First Co-Founders Featured Across The Globe  
During the 2017 Deep Learning In Finance Summit in Singapore I Know First's co-founders will be featured keynote speakers. They will be discussing how I Know First is able to utilize deep learning techniques to predict the financial markets. Additionally,I Know First's co-founders Yaron Golgher and Dr. Roitman were featured on i24 News TV, for an interview regarding the predictability of markets today. 
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  1. Earlier in 2016, an I Know First analyst wrote a bullish article on TSLA, explaining on the SolarCity merger would help TSLA shares surge. The article had complimented I Know First's AI-based algorithmic prediction on TSLA. Though investors were wary of the merger, TSLA has begun reporting an increase in profits since. TSLA shares have risen by almost 22% to date.
  2.  One of I Know First's top financial analysts had published a bullish outlook on MSFT on Seeking Alpha three years ago. The analyst had explained how Nadella, Microsoft's new CEO would help MSFT compete in a fierce competitive market. I Know First's AI-based algorithm had as well predicted a rise in MSFT shares during the same time. Since then, MSFT shares have risen by 76.75% to date.
  3. Over the past year, I Know First has continued to be bullish on United States Steel Corporation shares (X). On July 13th, 2016, an analyst had written about an improvement in the steel business environment. Additionally, on November 16th, 2016, an analyst wrote another article on X shares further explaining the added value of X shares in the market. On Both occasion on I Know First's self-learning algorithm had been bullish on X shares. Since then, X shares have returned by 88% and 39.31%, respectively.
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Algorithmic Trading: Swing Trading Based on Machine learning
Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st  2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year.
Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77.
Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87.
With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.

You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
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Routine Algorithmic Performance
I Know First provides retail investorshedge fund managersfamily office managers & financial advisors with tailored algorithmic services. 
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Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface

I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.

Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.

Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease. 

Read More Here

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