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Stock Market Forecast Based on Our State-Of-The-Art Predictive Algorithm
- March 12th, 2017 -
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1. Most Impressive Forecasts From 3 Day Time Frame 
This Pharma Stocks forecast, was I Know First's top forecast during the past week. XOMA was the highest returning stock at 20.28% in just 3 days. Additionally, Medecine Stocks forecast, Biotech Stocks forecast, and Basic Industry Stocks forecast had as well excellent short-term performance. The forecasts had overall average returns of 5.69%, 5.05%, and 4.15%, respectively. From the Basic Industry package, AKZOY had a superb return of 18.61%. Additionally, KITE, IMGN, and PTX had as well notable returns of 12.92%, 12.69%, and 11.27%, respectively. 

2. Long-Term Forecasts Reach Superb Returns of 646%
In 1 year, I Know First's self-learning had forecasted superb returns, with the top performance from this Stocks Under $5 forecast. The forecast had an overall average of almost 137% and an 80% accuracy level in 1 year. AMD and CLF had the highest 1 year returns from the package at 450.21% and 242.56%. GGB as well had superb returns from this Basic Industry forecast at 313.67%. The forecast had an accuracy level of 100% and an average of 117.67%. Additionally, this Small Cap Stocks forecast and Top 10 Stocks forecast had notable returns in 1 year with averages of 94.17% and 46.55%, respectively. CWEI had the highest overall 1 year return at 646.06%. GOL, X, and NAV had high returns of 240.02%, 208.18%, and 155.35%, accordingly. 

3. 90 Days Predictions Return Almost 70% 
The top 3 month forecast came from this Fundamental Stocks forecast with an overall average of 22.74%, and a market premium of over 17%. From the package, PPHM and XIV had high returns of 62.75% and 47.52%, respectively. Furthermore, this Tech Stocks forecast and Israeli Stocks forecast had superb 3 month average returns 17.29% and 17.90%, respectively. From these forecasts INVE, AMD, MU, CRNT, and TSEM had excellent returns of 67.77%, 34.53%, 22.83%, 53.71%, and 26.78%, respectively. 
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4. Month Long Predictions Yield Returns Over 112% 
The strongest 1 month predictions came from this long and short Risk Conscious Stocks forecast, long Medicine Stocks forecast, and long Biotech Stocks forecast. The forecasts had overall average returns of 15.41% (long), 13.86% (short), 14.23%, and 12.96%, respectively. The excellent month long performance was led by PPHM, which had yielded a high 112.50% return. Additionally, DRYS (short position), KEM, CYH, and IMGN had notable returns of 67.22%, 47.96%, 47.05%, and 45.15%, respectively.

5. Self-Learning Algorithm Reveals Stock Picks Yielding 39.05% in 14 Days
I Know First subscribers of Biotechnology, Pharmaceuticals, and Stocks Under $5 forecast, witnessed the algorithm's stock picks having double digit growth within 2 weeks. IMGN and PTX were among the highest yielding stocks In the long Pharma Stocks forecast, long and short Stocks Under $5 forecast, long Biotech Stocks forecast.  PTX had the highest return of 39.05% followed by IMGN with a 37.64% yield. The forecasts had a overall returns of 5.66%, 5.24% (long), 11.18% (short), and 9.83%, respectively. PPHM had as a superb 14 day return at 27.65% from the Biotech Stocks package. 

6. Algo Traders Post Superb Returns In Past Week
While the S&P 500 posted a loss in the previous 7 days, I Know First's 7 day portfolio posted positive returns. The highest yield came from the Energy Stocks Forecast shorting GLF, returning over 40%. Shorting DVAX yielded 30% from the short Fundamental Stocks Forecast and shorting FTR resulted in a 15.02% return. The 2 highest yielding stocks positing new 52 week high came from WTW posting 22.59% return and MUX at 14.29% from long 52 Week High Stocks Forecast. The algorithm had a 76% hit ratio in regards to currency prediction in a mere 7 days. 

7. Swing Trading Strategies Reach Over 76% In 1 Year 
I Know First's algorithmic indicators can be used to backtest various short term trading strategies. The top strategy had yielded up to a 55.19% alpha above the S&P500 Index, from January, 2016 till March 1st, 2017. Read the full trade report for a more detailed analysis with charts and graphs, depicting a high reward to risk payoff with low Betas and high Sharpe Ratios.

 
 
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  1. Prior to Adidas Group's fourth quarter earnings announcement, I Know First's AI-based algorithm had forecasted a bullish prediction on ADS.DE shares. On March 7th, 2017, an I Know First financial analyst wrote a bullish article to compliment the forecast. He explained that the new CEO had taken Adidas into a new direction, and has helped the firm's business development grow tremendously. Since then, ADS.DE shares have risen almost 12% to date. 
  2. On October 31st, 2016, an I Know First financial analyst wrote a bullish article regarding AAPL shares. The analyst had explained that the holiday season and recall of Note 7s would help Apple recover a sales decline. The article had complimented I Know First's self-learning algorithmic prediction on Apple Inc shares. Since then, AAPL shares have risen by over 22% to date. 
  3. Despite Disney's decline for the first half of the year 2016, a senior analyst and I Know First's algorithm maintained a buy recommendation. Since the article's release On November 8, 2016, I Know First's accurate forecast resulted in a 20% yield since then. This is partly due to Disney's released of highly demanding grossing films this past year. 
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Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st  2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year.
Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77.
Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87.
With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.


You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
 
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I Know First provides retail investorshedge fund managersfamily office managers & financial advisors with tailored algorithmic services. 
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Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface

I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.

Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.

Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease. 

Read More Here

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