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Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
- July 17th, 2017 -
Top Algorithmic Successes
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1. 3 Months Machine Learning Stock Forecast Resulted in Over 100% Yield
As a result of machine learning, I Know First's algorithms successfully recognized various pattern recognitions to provide its subscribers with high yielding stocks in the 3 month forecasts. Among the three listed forecasts, each of them selected the same stock pick yielding the highest return. In the Small Cap Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock pick was IMGN with a return of 109.57% in 3 months. In addition to IMGN, SYX and IMMU had notable returns of 64.24% and 52.10% yield, respectively. The forecast's average of 31.05% greatly surpassed the S&P 500's 3 month return of 5.60%. The Pharma Stocks forecast also selected IMGN as its top pick with a return of 109.57%. PTX and KERX also had high returns of 38.51% and 37.13%, respectively. In the Biotech Stocks forecast, besides IMGN with a return of 109.57%, the bullish forecast also selected PTX with a return of 38.51%

2. 3 Day Stock Forecasts Results in Returns Over 30%
In a just a span of 3 days, I Know First's use of stock prediction algorithm accurately predicted high returns among its forecasts. The highest performing stock was ARNA with an impressive return of 32.03%, in just 3 days. The forecast average had a return of 4.20% compared to the S&P 500's return of 0.82%. In the Brazil Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock came from SID. The stock returned investors 12.09%. Another notable stock return was GOL, with a return of 10.64%. The I Know First algorithm unveiled additional undervalued stocks in the Hedge Fund Stocks forecast with notable returns. ARNA and KERX returned investors 31.74% and 4.96%, respectively.

3. 1 Week Stock Forecasts With Double Digit Growth
Within 1 week, I Know First subscriber's saw impressive returns. In the Best Brazilian Stock forecast, GOL increased greatly in value by 16.14%. SID also had a high return of 13.88%. In the Stocks Under $5 forecast, OZM had a high return of 15.23%. The next highest yielding stock in this forecast was UEC, with a return of 6.92%. Under the Transportation Stocks forecast, GOL and CPA were the 2 highest 16.14% and 8.77%, respectively. 
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4. High Performing 2 Week Stock Forecasts Utilizing AI
The highest returning stock from the 2 week forecasts listed below was ARNA, with a return of 66.51%. The Hedge Fund Stock forecast also listed another high performing stock picks. In 14 days, KERX increased by 23.50%. The forecast's overall average of 9.04% exceeded the S&P 500's return of 0.25%. The Basic Industry Stocks forecast had respectable returns from SID and AYI. These stocks returned investors 18.72% and 13.03%, respectively. In another forecast, the highest yielding stock was ARNA with a return of 46.97% from the Biotech Stocks forecast. 

5. 1 Month Forecast Utilizing Deep Learning Resulted in High Yield Stock Picks
I Know First's self-learning algorithm processes through big data to unveil investment opportunities. In this case, the forecasts resulted in high yielding stock picks, one surpassing 75%. In the Pharma Stocks forecast, a number of stocks have increased significantly. Among its picks, IMGN had the highest return of 46.34%. The I Know First forecast average reached 15.37%, resulting in a market premium of 15.01%. In the Hedge Fund Stocks forecast, the highest return was ARNA yielding investors 76.55%, while KERX stock by 21.30%. In the Stocks Under $20 forecast, the highest performing stock was shorting FOLD with a return of 48.78%. The next highest yielding stock was VRX with a return of 38.36%.

6. Which Stock Increased By Over 390% in 1 Year?
Data Mining from I Know First's machine learning algorithm selected high yielding stock picks in its given 1 year time-frame. In the Fundamental-High Short Ratio Stocks forecast, the highest returns were KEM and CPA. The stock yielded investors 392.94% and 105.60%, respectively. In the 52 Weeks High Stocks forecast, KEM and TGB had returns of 392.94% and 102.00%, respectively. Finally, in the Transportation Stocks forecast, GOL had an impressive return of 177.07%.
 
 
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  1. Despite worrying some with Tesla's ambitious and sometimes questionable decisions, shareholders have watched its stock increase. Tesla's acquisition of Solar City diversified the company to not only be a car company. As production for the Model 3 begins, so did the company's brand awareness and popularity. Tesla's expansion into the Chinese market has also been gaining track. I Know First published a bullish forecast on June 23, 2016. Since the forecast's release, TSLA shares have increased by 52.12%.
  2. Although rumors circulated Netlfix could be the target of a takeover from Disney or Facebook, Netflix continued its positive trend. As subscribers increased, especially from abroad, Netflix addressed its needs to increase original content. The company planned to increase its original content to be at least 50% of its overall content. I Know First's self-learning algorithm had forecasted a bullish prediction on NFLX shares on January 10, 2017. In accordance with the algorithm's predictions, NFLX shares have risen by 23.04%. 
  3. On June 1, 2016, I Know First's algorithm forecasted a long position for AMD. The company is attempting to take away market share from NVIDIA in GPU's for the virtual reality market. This exciting market has been fueling AMD's stock to rise. AMD's Radeon RX 480 Polaris Video Card is viewed to bring the company to profitability. Since I Know First released the forecast, the stock has increased by 202.61%. 
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Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st  2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year.
Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77.
Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87.
With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.


You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
 
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Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface

I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.

Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.

Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease. 

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