Daily Forecast
 

Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
- August 14th, 2017 -
Top Algorithmic Successes
Which Stock Rose By 71% In the Last 30 Days? ❯❯ Stock Picking Using Artificial Intelligence: DVAX, TSLA, AMD, NVDA+ 10 Undervalued Stocks + Buy and Hold Strategy Based on Deep Learning
1. Which Stock Increased by Over 120% in 1 Year?
Within a forecast time-frame of one year, I Know First provided its subscribers with a number of high yielding stocks. Using a variation of pattern recognition and AI, the following forecasts, if utilized, could support I Know First subscribers in profitable stock selection. In the Tech Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock pick was KTOS with a return of 120.63% in 1 Year. In addition to KTOS, MU had a notable return of 98.62% yield. The forecast's average of 49.48% surpassed the S&P 500's 1 Year return of 13.38%. The Transportation Stocks forecast revealed its stock pick, CSX with an impressive return of 78.47% in 1 Year. GOL also had a high return of 77.12%. In the Basic Industry Stocks forecast, besides KTOS with a return of 120.63%, the bullish forecast also selected MTOR with a return of 90.69%.

2. 3 Months AI Stock Forecast Outperforms Index Benchmark more than 10x
Many investors attempt to surpass their index benchmark performance. In I Know First's case, its three month forecast average surpassed its index benchmark by 10 times the amount. In the Risk Conscious-Aggressive Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock was DVAX with an impressive return of 239.09%, in 3 months. The forecast average had a return of 36.37% compared to the S&P 500's return of 3.15%. In the 52 Week High Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock came from SYX. The stock returned investors 69.46%. Another notable stock return was TREE, with a return of 58.04%. The I Know First algorithm unveiled additional undervalued stocks in the Fundamental- High Short Ratio Stocks forecast with notable returns. WTW and SYX returned investors 97.84% and 46.90%, respectively. In the Insiders Stock forecast, SGMS and TREE had outstanding returns of 60.84% and 59.16%, respectively. 

3. Utilizing Self-Learning Algorithms Results in High Yield 1 Month Stock Picks
Shorting stocks can yield investors with high rewards. I Know First accurately predicted a number of stock picks for shorting in its 1 month forecast, some exceeding returns over 30%. In the Pharma Stocks forecast, the forecast accurately predicted bearish performances, such as the case with PTX. Buying short positions on PTX resulted in investors yielding 36.99%. INSM also had a high return of 31.50% (short). The forecast achieved an average exceeding its benchmark index. The forecast average reached 13.56% compared to the S&P 500's return of 0.65% in its given time-frame. In the Fundamental-High Short Ratio Stocks forecast, DVAX had a high return of 75.51%. The next highest yielding stock in this forecast was WTW, with a return of 33.19%. In the Stocks Under $20 forecast, DVAX and CG were the 2 highest 91.67% and 15.30%, respectively. Finally, the Biotech Stocks forecast selected DVAX with a return of 75.51% and ALXN with a return of 11.21%
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4. 2 Week Stock Forecast Achieves 100% Accuracy
The forecast achieved a 100% accuracy was the Risk Conscious-Aggressive Stocks. The highest yielding stock in the forecast was WAC 47.71% (short). Another stock that had a yield if an investor were to short the stock was CLSN, with a return of 27.78% (short). The forecast's overall average of 16.92% exceeded the S&P 500's return of -1.60%. The Chinese Stocks forecast also had respectable returns from 0852.HK and BIDU. These stocks returned investors 68.82% and 17.59%, respectively. In the Brazilian Stocks forecast accurately selected SID and BBD with returns of 16.45% and 9.85%, respectively. If we were to look at Currencies forecast, the forecast achieved a hit ratio of 77.78%, with the highest return of 3.96% from EUR/CHF.

5. 1 Week Forecast Achieves Double Digit Growth
Selecting stocks with double digit growth has been proven to be attainable throughI Know First's self-learning algorithm. In the Fundamental- Low PEG Stocks forecast, IO yielded investors 25.58%, while MTW stock increased by 13.77%. In the Medicine Stocks forecast, the highest return was TEVA and ENDP with returns of 27.16% (short) and 23.41% (short), respectively. The I Know First forecast average reached 10.96% resulting in a market premium of 12.18%.  In the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast, the highest performing stock was SID with a return of 13.11%. The next highest yielding stock was ARWR with a return of 9.09%. Finally, in the Top 10 Stocks forecast, TEVA and ENDP had the highest return 27.16% (short) and 23.41% (short) respectively.

6. 3 Day Forecast Reveals Pick Yields Over 40%
In a 3 day forecast, I Know First revealed an interesting investment opportunity in the Volatility forecast. The highest returns were ^VXO and ^VIX. VIX yielded investors 41.58% and 39.60%, respectively. The forecast average calculated to 16.69%, while the S&P 500 returned -1.32% in 3 days. In the Stocks Under $10 forecast, CDTI and ENDP had returns of 22.61% (short) and 19.51(short), respectively. In the Fundamental-Low PEG Stocks forecast, IO had an impressive return of 29.55%. Finally, in the Small Cap Stocks forecast, the forecast achieved a return of up to 22.09%.
 
 
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  1. Apple is awaiting its release of the iPhone 8. Its predecessor, the iPhone 7, has been a major success for the company. As a company with one of the highest customer retention rate, Apple is looking to mimic its success with the release of the iPhone 8. Along with Warren Buffet adding Apple to its portfolio, shareholders are looking forward to the company's future.  I Know First published a bullish forecast on August 14, 2016. Since the forecast's release, AAPL shares have increased by 45.57%.
  2. I Know First has been bearish on AMD shares. In one such case, on June 22, 2017, I Know First recognized a weakness in the company. Although AMD's stock performance has been correlating with the rise in Bitcoin, it may not follow in the long-term. AMD still lacks in innovation compared to Intel and Bitcoin miners are transitioning from GPUs to Application-Specific Integrated Circuit chips. In accordance with the algorithm's predictions, AMD shares have fallen by 12.52%. 
  3. On July 30, 2017, I Know First's algorithm forecasted a long position for Tesla. The Model 3 has been released to favorable reviews and a backlog of orders. Although some may think the stock is overvalued, revenue is expected to rise considerably once the company achieves its goal of manufacturing 3,000 Model 3 cars a month. Since I Know First released the forecast, the stock has increased by 7%. 
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Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st  2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year.
Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77.
Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87.
With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.


You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
 
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Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface

I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.

Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.

Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease. 

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