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I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
January 21st, 2018
 
This Week's Top Article:
ETF Investing Using Our AI Signals

Read More | Related News
This Week's Top Stock Prediction:
Impressive AI Based Forecast
29.73% Return | 7 Days
 
This Week's Highlights
10 Undervalued Stocks Based on AI + Top 20 Stock Picks Based On Deep Learning AI Algorithm + The Forecast For AMZN, TSLA and AAPL
Top 10 Aggressive Stocks For This Week + Top 10 Stock From The Computer Industry
 
TOP ALGORITHMIC PERFORMANCES
 
3 DAYS
 

14 DAYS
 

3 MONTHS
7 DAYS
 

1 MONTH
 

1 YEAR
More Stock Predictions
Stock Picking By Using AI Algorithms: Today's Top 10 Stock Picks+ Algorithmic Forecast For NFLX, MSFT, AMD, AMZN ❯❯
AAPL Forecast For The Next 10 Days: Buy Or Sell? ❯❯
 
TOP NEWS ARTICLES
ETF Investing By Aggregating Algorithmic Trading Signals
The concept behind the aggregation is to combine the information from individual, stock-level forecasts within each GICS sector to decide whether we are bullish, bearish, or neutral for the whole sector. To do this we map each of the S&P 500 stocks for which we generate daily investment forecasts to its unique GICS sector and use these mappings to compute predictions for the whole sector. Each sector’s predicted direction is determined by comparing the distributions of the long and short forecasts for the stocks within the sector using mean, median, and quantiles. We thus select the sector-level prediction by determining which distribution (the long or short) is “larger” in the sense of the direction for which the stock-level forecasts are stronger. Note that instead of comparing the distributions of the signals we compare the predictability weighted signals (PWSs), thus incorporating the predictability indicator into the direction selection. Moreover, we require that over 60% of the PWSs be in the direction of the sector we picked; if this is not fulfilled we mark the sector as neutral. This process results in a daily direction decision for each sector which can then be used for ETF investing. We use these aggregated predictions to on a daily basis decide on a direction (long, short or neutral) for each of the 11 SPDR Sector ETFs based and thus construct a portfolio that dynamically invests according to these predictions, adjusting its positions on a daily basis. The 3 strategies differ in that they have different limits on the maximum percentage of the portfolio value that can be allocated to an individual position. The first strategy (top row) has no constraints, for example if on a given day we are only non-neutral for 1 ETF we will invest the whole portfolio in that ETF. Instead the second and third strategy (second and third rows from the top) respectively limit each position to a maximum of 50% and 25% of the portfolio value: this means that we need at least 2 to 4 non-neutral positions to be fully invested. The fourth row presents the results of the benchmark, the SPY (ETF that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index). Read more.

Cheniere Energy Stock Prediction For 2018
Cheniere Energy, Inc. (NYSEMKT:LNG) owns or controls an array of liquefied natural gas (LNG) assets directed to serve energy industry export markets. Currently, Cheniere Energy is undergoing an expansion phase – inevitably, a costly endeavor. Whilst investors can continue to expect net losses for the coming periods, Cheniere Energy has demonstrated strong performance and ultimately, strong potential. The ongoing rally has driven Cheniere Energy’s market cap to $13 billion. Indeed, this remains significantly below the $19.89 billion valuation it briefly reached in 2014. Since then, Cheniere Energy has increased its debt levels by 154%. Cheniere Energy comprises of multiple subsidiaries, each with a significant debt balance. At the end of September, 2017, Cheniere Energy had $24.9 billion in long term debt on its balance sheet – reflecting a debt-to-assets ratio of 92%. Some of that debt is a direct obligation of the company, whilst some is owed by various subsidiaries, serving as an indirect obligation to the Cheniere Energy parent. The complex business structure is illustrated below. Management is aware of the confusing web of relationships and has stated that “simplify[ing] corporate structure” is a goal for 2018. The United States is predicted to become the third-largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, following Australia and Qatar. It is forecasted that the United States export capacity will total 9.5 billion cubic feet per day by 2019, a vast increase from 0.8 billion cubic feet per day at the beginning of 2016. The increase in demand for liquified natural gas is very favorable for Cheniere Energy. If all goes to plan with the expansion of Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi, then Cheniere Energy will own approximately 4.5 billion cubic feet per day of the country’s total export capacity. A number of analysts, polled by Nasdaq, shared their views on the current momentum. Of 11 analysts surveyed, (including JP Morgan Securities, Wells Fargo, Raymond James and US Capital Advisors) 7 advise “Strong Buy,” whilst the remaining advise investors to “Hold.” A strong buy recommendation indicates that the shares are currently undervalued. Read more.

What Tax Reform & iPhone X Mean For Apple: A Bullish Forecast
In 1984, Apple introduced the Macintosh, which revolutionized personal technology and kept Apple as the second largest PC manufacturer for the next decade. One of the biggest technology companies in the world, Apple is leading the race to become the world’s first $1 trillion company. Will Apple be the first to reach this goal? With a market capitalization of $919 billion, as of January 17, 2018, Apple’s stock price in 2017 has increased almost 50%. 2017 marked the 10th anniversary of its most famous product, the iPhone, which accounts almost 80% of gross profits generated by the world’s smartphone industry. The celebration came with the launch of Apple’s most expensive smartphone ever, the iPhone X, an all screen smartphone, the first with OLED screen and the first to introduce the new Face ID technology. The TrueDepth camera, which allows the Face ID tech – a secure and private new way to unlock, authenticate, and pay -, revolutionized the recognition process by projecting and analyzing more than 30,000 invisible dots to create a precise depth map of the face. Despite customer fury about the overpriced iPhone X and its low sales projections, the Californian firm has gained 17% of market share over the previous year after the launch. The curiosity of the iPhone X sales and revenues will persist until February 1st, 2018, when Apple will hold its investors call and will release its first quarter results. The impending tax reform is expected to lower rates across corporate America. Therefore, Apple is also going to benefit from it. The company is expected to save $47 billion under the tax reform. Many American companies prefers to keep the majority of its overseas earning outside of the U.S., instead of paying the 35% corporate tax rate that is charged to bring the money back home. Apple currently holds $252.3 billion cash overseas in foreign cash and investments. If Apple decides to repatriate all of that to the U.S., the company will have a reduction on its tax rate for overseas earnings to 15.5%. Read more.

Quick Win: FCX Stock Price Reaches 52 Week High
FCX stock price have reached a 52-week high on January 5th, 2018. The company’s shares have surged over 60% in the last six months, significantly outperforming the industry growth. Freeport-McMoRan released strong financial results for the third-quarter and nine-month 2017. The company also has a positive outlook for future results. According to President and CEO, Richard C. Adkerson, their focus on cost management combined with free cash flow generation have enabled FCX to continue to strengthen their balance sheet and successfully execute their strategy. As the CEO said, “Our shareholders are well positioned to benefit from out highly attractive portfolio of copper assets and improving copper market conditions.” FCX consolidated sales for the year 2017 are expected to approximate 3.7 billion pounds of copper, 1.6 million ounces of gold and 94 million pounds of molybdenum, including 1.0 billion pounds of copper, 625 thousand ounces of gold and 23 million pounds of molybdenum for fourth-quarter 2017. Moreover, FCX is expecting its unit net cash cost to average $1.19 per pound of cooper for the year 2017. The company is taking actions to cut mining costs and manage capital expenditures amid a challenging operating environment. Furthermore, FCX is also focused on reducing its debt. Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in the United States, Indonesia, Peru, and Chile. It primarily explores for copper concentrate, copper cathode, copper rod, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals, as well as oil and gas. The company’s portfolio of assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, and Miami in Arizona; Tyrone and Chino in New Mexico; and Henderson and Climax in Colorado, North America, as well as Cerro Verde and El Abra mines in South America. It also operates a portfolio of oil and gas assets comprising oil and natural gas production onshore in South Louisiana; and on the GOM Shelf and oil production offshore California, as well as natural gas production from the Madden area in central Wyoming. As of December 31, 2016, the company’s estimated consolidated recoverable proven and probable mineral reserves totaled 86.8 billion pounds of copper, 26.1 million ounces of gold, and 2.95 billion pounds of molybdenum, as well as estimated proved developed oil and natural gas reserves totaled 18 million barrels of oil equivalents.
 Read More.

Quick Win: ION Geophysical Corporation Stock Soars
ION Geophysical Corporation is a technology-focused company. It provides geophysical technology, services and solutions to the global oil and gas industry. Its offerings are designed to enable oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies to obtain images of the Earth’s subsurface. It offers services and products through three segments: E&P Technology & Services, E&P Operations Optimisation, and Ocean Bottom Services. The historical performance of ION Geophysical Corporation (NYSE:IO) reflects a 67.67% increase over the past month. During the past quarter, the shares have increased by 151.98% and 287.83% over the course of a year. The demand for ION products and services are directly correlated with the investments in oil & gas production activities. Oil prices have demonstrated stabilisation over recent quarters, allowing exploration and production companies to invest in growth opportunities. Ultimately, demand for ION products and services are also strengthening. The dramatic increase reflects an improvement in trader sentiments, given the company’s strong performance over the past two quarters. Furthermore, the rally over the past month was fueled by insider trading. CEO R. Brian Hanson bought 36,351 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, December 14. He purchased the stock at an average price of $13.05 per share, with a total value of $474,380.55. He now directly owns 154,325 shares of the company’s stock. Additionally, CFO Steven Bate purchased 18,176 shares of the company’s stock the same day, at an average share price of $13.05. Steven now directly owns 86,595 shares directly. Over the past three months, insiders purchased 70,589 shares of the company stock. Currently, 15.2% is of the shares are owned by insiders. Insider trading activity may be seen as a valuable indicator of shifts in the market and sector sentiment. Given executives and directors have the most up-to-date information on their companies’ prospects, investors may aim to capitalise on the insider knowledge by tracking insider buying. Ultimately, prices will increase with an increased demand. Read More.


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LETTER FROM THE CEO
Dear Readers,

Recently we've been looking back on our performance over the last year and we were reminded of several predictions we made last year with strong AI algorithmic indicators. We recall recommending readers buy two strong stocks: Amazon and Nvidia. These two since those predictions have gone up by 71% and 162% respectively in their stock prices. We were excited to find this because it shows the progress our AI algorithms have made over the year and how despite the launch of various new products and massive changes in the technology industry, our predictions were fundamentally accurate since they were based on the deeper patterns behind the market, found using machine learning and our artificial neural network technology. Now, many are waiting to see how Netflix is going to perform in the light of its upcoming earnings report. If you have been following our newsletter you'll know that we've had several successful predictions with Netflix in the past and are also looking forward with interest in the face of this earnings report. All of this advanced movement within the AI industry and especially with our own algorithmic technology makes sense when given a frame of perspective for AI right now. Recently, artificial intelligence programs built by Alibaba and Microsoft have beaten humans at the Stanford humans on a Stanford University reading comprehension test. Alibaba released a statement mentioning, "This is the first time that a machine has outperformed humans on such a test". The test was devised by artificial intelligence experts at Stanford to measure computers' growing reading abilities. Reading comprehension in particular is very interesting in terms of AI because it is markedly a human skill to be able to process all the different words in cohesion and derive meaning from it. Thus, we are witnessing an emerging and evolving era of AI that is very exciting to be a part of. We look forward to seeing how we can apply this to our financial market predictions.

Warmest Regards,
Yaron Golgher, Co-Founder and CEO
 
COMMODITIES - GOLD - CURRENCIES
Commodity Prediction: Returns Up To 18.26% Return In 1 Month
January 16 |
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Gold News: Four Month High On Dollar Three Year Low
January 15 |
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Commodities Forecast: AI Returns Up To 18.49% In 1 Month
January 14 |
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Commodity Prediction: Returns Up To 10.83% Return In 1 Month
January 11 |
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Oil Price Predictions: AI Returns Up To 7.68% In 14 Days
January 10 |
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Aluminum Price Forecast: AI Returns Up To 9.11% In 1 Month
January 09 |
Read More
Get The Top Ten Commodities For January 2018 By AI Algorithm
You should also know:

Despite the conservative estimates of several analysts, gold has continued to shoot up and this week gold hit an over four month high, contrasting the the dollar index slumped to three year lows. This is a new high for gold after touching the price point of $1342.06 on September 8th. Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD securities, recently stated, “A flat yield curve and a weak jobs report, which revealed still lackluster wage pressures, suggest the U.S. central bank may well be slower in raising rates than suggested by the dot plots. These factors, combined with dollar weakness, have prompted investors to bet on gold and silver.” Hedge funds have all been pouring funds in to the metals, especially considering the full range of factors involved in driving the commodities’ price up. Stephen Innes, APAC head of trading at OANDA, commented on this stating, “While the weaker dollar remained gold’s primary driver, investors are keeping an eye on the simmering geopolitical hot spot in the Middle East”. A flare up in geopolitical tensions could also push the bullion further up than expected.

On the other hand, analysts have also warned that the dollar’s low will not be a long-lasting one, as it is a low that is not driven by fundamentals. Simona Gambarini, a Capital Economics analyst, stated, “The weakness in the dollar is not justified by fundamentals. It’s a little bit weird considering the divergence in monetary policy should play in favor of a stronger dollar”. Further down the line we expect to see that Gambarini and other analysts will be proven correct to an extent, once the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, which has been suspected for a very long time now. This will lead to a stronger dollar and thus gold’s price will drop once more. However, in the short term it is difficult to state what the immediate market action will be, as the dollar and the bullion are tightly interwoven in their relationship. Carsten Menke, a Julius Baer commodity analyst, explained it as follows, “The main reason for the tight relationship between the dollar and gold is a lack of physical demand on the gold side in terms of ETFs and Indian and Chinese jewelry”. What happens next for the dollar and the bullion remains to be seen.

 
APPLE STOCK NEWS
Apple News: App Store Presents Record Breaking Holiday Season
January 14 |
Read More

Apple News: Senator John Thune Asking Apple For Transparency
January 11 |
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Apple News: Top End Of Year Forecast Returns Up To 75.13%
January 10 |
Read More
Apple News: Apple Releases Update Against Microchip Security Flaw
January 09 |
Read More

Apple News: Apple Releases Comprehensive Fall 2018 Line Up
January 03 |
Read More

Apple News: Apple Offering $29 Batteries After iPhone Slowing
December 31 |
Read More
AAPL Stock Forecast: What to Expect From AAPL?
You should also know:

App Store presented record-breaking holiday season. New Year’s Day 2018 set record with $300 million in purchases in apps and games. Starting on Christmas Eve, over $890 million were spent during the week on purchases or downloaded apps from App Store.

The tech giant senior vice president of Worldwide Marketing stated that Apple is “thrilled with the reaction to the new App Store and to see to many customers discovering and enjoying new apps and games.”

According to him, iOS developers earned in 2017 $26.5 billion. It is a 30% increase over the previous year. Among the most popular downloads Pokémon GO was leading the list.

IOS developers have earned over $86 billion since the App Store launch in July 2008.

On December 15th, 2016, I Know First issued a bullish long term forecast for Apple. Since then, Apple stock price went up 55.41% in accordance with the I Know First forecast sent to subscribers.

 
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