I Know First
Weekly Newsletter | August 9th, 2026

• Last Chance: The Exclusive Webinar Deals Close Today
• Read Here: I Know First AI-Powered Portfolio: +43.46% vs S&P 500 +35.96%

Need To Know First!

• Robotics Stocks Forecast Based on Machine Learning: Returns up to 27.81% in 3 Days
• Robotics Stocks Forecast Based on Genetic Algorithms: Returns up to 30.82% in 7 Days
• Quantitative Trading Based on AI: Returns up to 30.99% in 14 Days
• Top Technology Stock Picks Based on Artificial Intelligence: Returns up to 37.81% in 1 Month
• HACK Cybersecurity Stocks Based on Genetic Algorithms: Returns up to 91.7% in 3 Months
• SOXX Stocks Based on Machine Learning: Returns up to 259.95% in 1 Year

• Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) is up 36.59% since March 29th, 2026, as expanding profitability through higher-margin businesses like AWS and advertising combines with strong positioning in structurally attractive markets, while improved cost discipline and scaling benefits build a foundation for sustained earnings growth.

• PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) is up 33.10% since June 29th, 2026, as PayPal resets its growth strategy around branded-checkout stabilization and Venmo monetization, with our algorithm showing a high signal on the one-year outlook even as the stock trades well below its DCF fair value.

• Adobe Inc (ADBE) is up 29.99% since June 12th, 2026, on Adobe's recurring subscription model and successful generative AI integration into its creative workflows, which support a case for undervaluation even after this run.

Weekly Winning Forecasts

Webinar Replay: AI-Recommended Stocks for August 2026

Last week's live session is available in full, and the subscription offers that came with it close today. If you have been waiting to see how the algorithm is positioned before committing, this is the last day to act on both.

• The Great AI Rotation of 2026, and the sectors where mega-cap companies are pouring billions.
• The stocks positioned to lead Wall Street through the second half of the year.
• The quiet rally of the Russell 2000, and the small-cap names the algorithm flagged early.
• A behind-the-scenes look at how the forecasting signals are actually built.
• Live Q&A with the I Know First artificial intelligence research team.

The AI Portfolio: +43.46% Since Inception, and the Current Cycle Is Still Running

Our AI Monthly Portfolio is up 43.46% since it went live on April 2, 2025, against 35.96% for the S&P 500 over the same stretch. The current cycle runs to August 19, when the algorithm selects the next ten positions.

• Ten stocks and ETFs per cycle, equal weighted, selected entirely by the algorithm.
• Up 43.46% since inception against 35.96% for the S&P 500, a 7.50 point premium.
• Eighteen rebalance periods completed or in progress since April 2, 2025.
• The current period, July 22 to August 19, is up 4.41% against 2.81% for the S&P 500.
• A live and documented track record, not a backtest.

July 2026 Performance: I Know First Outpaces the S&P 500 as an AI Stock Selloff Splits Hedge Fund Returns

July was the month the AI trade stopped moving in one direction, and the gap between funds widened sharply. Our Combined Long/Short Strategy finished the month ahead of the index and ahead of every major fund in the comparison on a year-to-date basis.

• July: up 0.89% against negative 0.13% for the S&P 500.
• Year to date through July 31: up 18.67%, against 12.00% for Citadel Wellington, 10.90% for Point72, 9.41% for the S&P 500 and 8.20% for Millennium.
• Since January 2020: up 764.06% against 128.81% for the S&P 500.
• Sharpe ratio of 1.78 against 0.56 for the S&P 500, with a maximum drawdown of negative 17.20% against negative 33.92% for the S&P 500.
• Compound annual growth rate of 39.33% against 13.57% for the S&P 500.

Two New Packages: Leveraged ETFs and Robotics

We have launched two additions to the forecast lineup, one that changes how you express a forecast and one that covers a sector the algorithm has been leading with all week. Robotics topped two of our six time horizons this week, which is the clearest possible argument for why it now has its own package.

• The Leveraged ETF package maps leveraged and inverse instruments to the securities already covered by the daily forecasts.
• It spans 91 individual stocks, 8 indexes and sectors and 3 commodities, across 11 fund issuers, from 3x long through 3x short.
• The Robotics package covers roughly 65 US-listed companies across industrial automation, humanoid robotics, sensors, surgical robotics, autonomous vehicles and drones.
• This week's 7-day robotics forecast returned up to 30.82% on Appian, with Zebra Technologies at 30.47% and UiPath at 21.66%.
• That package averaged 12.38% against 4.3% for the S&P 500, an 8.08 point premium, with 8 of 10 movements called correctly.

RCL Stock Forecast: Smooth Sailing Ahead?

Royal Caribbean has repaired its balance sheet faster than almost anyone expected after 2022, and the operating margins now sit well clear of its peer group. The question our valuation work asks is whether that recovery is already in the price.

• The discounted cash flow model puts fair value at about $295 a share, against a market price near $297.71.
• Leverage has come down from 8.4x debt to equity at the 2022 peak to 2.2x today, with dividends and buybacks resumed.
• Net income margin of roughly 24% and EBITDA margin of roughly 37% compare with peer averages near 11% and 26%.
• Peer multiples imply a wider range, from $170 a share on revenue to $363 on EBITDA, and the analyst consensus target sits at $336.15.
• A $10.6 billion debt maturity after 2030 still has to be refinanced at whatever rates prevail then.

CEO Weekly Letter

Dear Fellow Investors,

Risk came back all at once this week. The S&P 500 rose 3.58%, the Nasdaq led with 5.19%, the Dow added 2.96%, and the Russell 2000 kept pace at 3.52%. The VIX fell from 15.99 to 14.90.

We put that view on the record before the week started. During our live webinar last Sunday we walked through the current market landscape and published a positive live forecast for the S&P 500, at the 52:19 mark, at a moment when the recent volatility had most of the commentary pointing the other way. The index then rose 3.58% over the week that followed. The forecast is timestamped and public, so you can go back and watch us make it rather than take our word for it afterwards.

The short-term side of that same view went out the same day. Our Best Stocks to Buy forecast, built on a self-learning algorithm, returned up to 18.45% on Shake Shack over the three sessions from August 2 to August 5, with Hamilton Lane at 13.38% and Oracle at 11.18%. The package averaged 5.94% against 3.12% for the S&P 500, a 2.82 point premium, with 8 of 10 movements called correctly. A positive read on the index and a set of individual names to express it, published together and dated.

The leadership was the story. Semiconductors, the group that spent all of July being sold, put in the strongest week of any major complex: the semiconductor sector gained 7.80%, Nvidia 11.56%, Broadcom 9.88%. Oil went the other way, WTI crude falling 7.67% to about $78, and energy was the only major sector to finish lower. Gold rose 8.66% to roughly $4,400 an ounce and silver 10.26% to about $63.50, a combination of falling oil and rising metals that does not usually appear alongside a five percent week in the Nasdaq.


The 7-day forecast published on August 2, ahead of the week described above: a strong positive reading on Nvidia, positive readings on gold and silver, and a negative reading on the VIX.

So where does the algorithm point from here. In the latest forecast it stays positive on semiconductors across every one of the six horizons, and the conviction builds with time rather than fading, with the strongest readings on the three-month and one-year views. On oil and energy it is negative on all six, short horizon and long, which is the opposite of where a seven percent weekly drop usually pulls the crowd. Gold and silver are the genuinely interesting case: positive on the 3-day, 7-day, 14-day and 1-month views, then negative on the 3-month and 1-year. The algorithm is with the metals for now and against them later, and it is worth saying that out loud rather than only quoting the horizon that flatters the week.

I want to be straight about how that sits with what we wrote last week. The algorithm flagged the rotation out of chips and into software, and over its 14-day window that call paid in full. This week the chip complex rebounded hard. Both things are true, and they are true on different horizons, which is exactly why we publish six of them rather than one. On the one-year view, the strongest read on our entire board this week is SOXX Stocks at up to 259.95%. The two-week call and the one-year call were never in conflict.

What stood out most this week was robotics. It took the top spot on two of our six horizons, 27.81% over 3 days and 30.82% over 7 days, in the same week we introduced a dedicated Robotics package covering roughly 65 US-listed companies across industrial automation, humanoid robotics, sensors, surgical robotics, autonomous vehicles and drones. On the 7-day forecast, Appian returned 30.82%, Zebra Technologies 30.47% and UiPath 21.66%. The package averaged 12.38% against 4.3% for the S&P 500, an 8.08 point premium, with 8 of 10 movements called correctly.

We also launched the Leveraged ETF package, which maps leveraged and inverse instruments to securities the daily forecasts already cover, spanning 91 stocks, 8 indexes and sectors and 3 commodities across 11 issuers. It does not change the forecast. It changes how precisely you can express one. These instruments reset daily and are not right for every investor or every signal, and the package notes say so plainly.

Robotics Stocks Forecast – 3 Days: Up to 27.81% Return
Machine learning on the robotics universe, up to 27.81% in three sessions, the first of two robotics wins this week.

Robotics Stocks Forecast – 7 Days: Up to 30.82% Return
Genetic algorithms on the same sector, up to 30.82% over 7 days, with the package averaging 12.38% against 4.3% for the S&P 500.

Quantitative Trading – 14 Days: Up to 30.99% Return
Up to 30.99% over the two-week horizon, across a stretch that contained both the July selloff and this week's recovery.

Top Technology Stock Picks – 1 Month: Up to 37.81% Return
Technology up to 37.81% over the month, well ahead of where the same package sat a week ago.

HACK Cybersecurity Stocks – 3 Months: Up to 91.7% Return
Cybersecurity up to 91.7% over the quarter, a sector that has quietly compounded while attention sat elsewhere.

SOXX Stocks – 1 Year: Up to 259.95% Return
Our machine learning read on the semiconductor complex, up to 259.95% over a 1-year horizon, the strongest figure across all six time horizons this week.

Top Signals This Cycle

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