1. Top Forecasts this Week: 185.32% In 3 Months I Know First's strongest stock choices this week came from the Stocks Under 10 Dollars, Brazil Stocks, and Medicine Stocks packages. GOL returned an incredible 185.32% from the Brazil Stocks package in just 3 months. NPTN and BVX also gave high returns of 138.70% and 87.45%. The packages had average returns of 46.70%, 45.85%, and 13.17% which easily eclipsed the S&P 500's returns of 7.48%, 3.47%, and -1.79%.
2. 3-Day Returns Topping 20%: In the 3-day time period, the most impressive forecasts came from the Fundamental, Small Cap, and 52 Weeks High packages. Our greatest stock choice returned 20.43%. Other excellent returns came from NAVB and NWBO with 18.39% and 18.25%. The averages for these forecasts were 5.20%, 5.16%, and 5.08%, which significantly outdid the S&P 500's 0.57%, 0.63%, and -0.92%.
3. 7-Day Returns Over 25%: The best performing 30-day forecasts were from the Fundamental, Tech, and Interest Rates packages. The most lucrative return came from NAVB with 25.61% in the Fundamental package. AXDX and NPTN increased as well with 12.44% and 8.92%. The I Know First averages for these packages were 789%, 5.89%, and 3.15% within 7 days as opposed to the S&P 500's measly returns of -2.43%, and 0.53%.
4. 14-Day Returns up to 25.78% In the last 14 days, the greatest returns came from these top-performing packages: Medicine Stocks and Energy Stocks. The largest return came from this stock in the Energy Stock package with 25.78%. RPTP and CWEI also also produced a strong 23.49% and 23.26%. These 14-day forecasts averaged 7.36%, and 5.97% which outdid the S&P 500's -0.46% and -1.87%.
5. Month-Long Returns Reach 39.27% The 52 Weeks High Stocks and Insurance Companies were the strongest returning 30-day packages this week. Both GNW and BVX returned 39.27% making them the top earners. AXDX and TVIX also performed well with 21.60% and 18.17%. These packages had average returns of 12.49% and 9.40% compared to the S&P 500's -2.67% and -1.22%.
6. Returns Topping 168% in 3 Months The most impressive 3-Month returns came from the Transportation, Insider, and International packages. This stock returned 168.02% in only 3 months. CPA and YELP performed superbly returning 69.31% and 39.56%. The I Know First averages for these forecasts were 36.73%, 31.32%, and 15.78%. This eclipsed the S&P 500's small return of 2.25% and 0.58%.
7. Stock Forecast: Daily Stock Selection based on a Self-Learning Algorithm This article shows the results of trading using the I Know First algorithm. From the period of January 7th through August 31st, I Know First returned up to 49.10% while the S&P 500 returned only 9.08%. For more data about the tests read the full article.
With the iPhone 7 released, Apple's stock price has been on the rise. Many I Know First analysts have written articles analyzing Apple. One was written on May 25th opening with the fact that many institutional investors having been buying Apple stock. It continued discussing Apple's brand value and future opportunities. On August 16th, 2016, an analyst published another article that stated investors should invest in Apple before the iPhone 7 was released. The article delved into a myriad of reasons why the iPhone 7 will boost Apple's stock. On June 8th, an I Know First article also predicted a bullish increase for Apple. It discussed Tim Cook's strategy of buying back Apple shares whenever its stock price is low. It also warned against shorting Apple and regarded its stock price as "cheap" compared to other Consumer Goods companies. The I Know First algorithm also published a strong bullish signal 3 months ago with a strength of 52.32 and a predictability ratio of 0.24. Since the article 3 months ago, AAPL has increased 17%. Over the last month it increased 6% in response to the iPhone 7 release. These movements were in accordance with the I Know First algorithm's movements.
About a month ago, an article published by an I Know First discussed how companies that use artificial intelligence will perform. Artificial intelligence has massive potential for companies in technology. This line in the article summarizes its predictions: Based on the algorithmic signals generated by our algorithm, IBM is currently overvalued, with Google and Microsoft making a more attractive long term AI investment." Since the article was published Google increased 21.85%, Microsoft increased 23%, and IBM fell 4%, which was all predicted by our algorithm.
This article discussing Walmart predicted a favorable increase in its stock price. It discussed how earnings dipped last year and are likely to rise this year. Walmart is a retail giant and employs over 2.2 million employees. Last year's holiday season have also been a springboard for Walmart's stock price. The algorithm also believed Walmart would increase and gave it a favorable buy signal. Since the article was written Walmart increased 21%.
Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st 2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year. Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77. Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87. With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.
You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface
I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.
Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.
Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease.