1. This Week's Strongest Forecasts: 184.37% in 3 Months I Know First's most lucrative stocks this week came from the Brazil Stocks, Fundamental, and Hedge Fund packages. CWEI was the top-earner with 184.37% from the fundamental package in just 3 months. GOL and ARRY followed with an excellent 170.00% and 77.84%. The average returns for these packages were 63.00%, 38.22%, and 12.29% compared to the S&P 500's low 4.32%, -0.90%, and 0.10%.
2. Quick Returns - Best 3-Day Forecasts: In the 3-day forecasts, the Stocks Under 10 Dollars and Transportation packages returned the greatest profits. The top earner yielded 13.60% in this time period spanning 3 days. LHA.DE and LFL also returned a large 12.06% and 8.26%. The averages for these forecasts were 4.77% and 3.99%, which greatly overtook the S&P 500's 0.69%.
3. 7 Day Returns Topping 20%: The highest performing weeklong forecasts were from the Options and Brazil Stocks packages. The top return came from NFLX with 21.16% in the Options package. PBR and ERG also returned 10.64% and 10.34%. The I Know First averages for these packages were 5.14% and 3.64% compared to the S&P 500's small returns of 0.40% and 0.35%.
4. 2-Week Forecasts Average Nearly 9%: Energy and Brazil Stocks made the strongest 14-day forecasts this week. One stock returned 19.43% in this time period. GOL and BAK followed with 19.09% and 18.11%. The averages for these packages are 8.82% and 6.43% which outperformed the S&P 500 only -1.93% and 0.58%.
5. 30-Day Returns Yielding Over 36% In the last month, these packages gave the highest returns: Brazil and Energy. The best return came from GOL returning 36.57%. HNR and PBR also returned a strong 36.71% and 31.98%. These 30-day forecasts averaged 17.63% and 12.13% which surpassed the S&P 500's 0.10% and 0.07%.
6. Three-Month Return Over 150%: The Energy and Top 10 Stocks were the highest returning 90-day packages this week. CWEI was the strongest earner with 166.39%.GGB and NRP also gave high returns of 48.16% and 47.18%. 31.56% and 10.44% were these packages average returns against the S&P 500's -1.47% and -1.04%.
7. Four Yearlong Stocks That Doubled Returns: The Risk Conscious and Tech were our best yearlong forecasts. This stock returned 114.75%. Three other stocks that returned over 100% were ARCW, ATV, and NPTN with 111.73%, 109.76%, and 101.47% The average returns for these packages was 27.43% and 27.18% which beat the S&P 500 with 5.24% and 4.32%.
8. Short-Term Trading Reaches 58.75% This short-term trading report details I Know First's results from January 7th, 2016, to September 30th, 2016. I Know First yielded results up to 58.75% while the S&P returned only 8.94% in the same time horizon. Read the full report for a more detailed analysis with charts and graphs.
About a month ago, an I Know First analyst published an article about NFLX. He predicted an increase in stock price due to strong revenue growth and potential international growth. At the same time, the I Know First algorithm published a bullish signal for NFLX. Since then, NFLX increased 31.5% proving both predictions correct.
On June 21st, 2016, an analyst at I Know First wrote this article analyzing NVDA. He praised its GPU-accelerated artificial intelligence computing platform and predicted further increases from NVDA. He believes NVDA's chip will be able to compete with Apple and will gain market share. The I Know First algorithm also predicted a stark jump in stock price. NVDA increased more than 42% since the algorithm gave the signal.
This article analyzing AMD's decision to sell their Radeon 480X Polaris video cards for $199 lauded their decision. I Know First analyst believed this low price will attract more buyers. It also undermined Nvidia's more expensive card with a better-priced one. The I Know First algorithm also gave AMD a buy rating the same time the article was written. In agreement with the forecast, AMD rose over 50% since the signal was published
Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st 2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year. Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77. Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87. With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.
You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface
I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.
Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.
Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease.
