1. This Week's Best Overall Forecasts: 201.63% I Know First's most lucrative stocks this week came from the Risk-Conscious and Stocks Under 5 Dollars packages. BVX was our top-earner with 201.63% in 1 year. GOL and CWEI followed with excellent returns of 188.95% and 175.50%, accordingly. The average returns for these packages were 60.96% and 34.05% compared to the S&P 500's return of 2.93% and -1.34%, during the respective time periods.
2. High Swing Trading Returns- Top 3 Day Forecasts: Within the 3-day forecasts, the International, 52 Weeks High Stocks, and Stocks Under 10 Dollars packages had the strongest returns. The best return yielded 44.97%in just 3-day period. VOXX and VALE also returned 13.92% and 10.38%. The averages for these forecasts were 7.34%, 6.74%, and 4.18%, which greatly overtook the S&P 500's .47% and -0.08%.
3. 7 Day Returns Top 20%: The highest performing 7-day forecasts were from the Basic Industry, Tech, European, and Stocks Under 10 Dollars packages. The strongest return came from MTL with 49.54%, found in the European package. VALE and VOXX also returned 19.01% and 16.88%. The I Know First averages for these packages were 7.00%, 5.28%, 4.45% and 2.09% compared to the S&P 500's small returns of -0.52%, -0.01% and 0.78%.
4. 14-Day Forecasts Earn Up to 26%: The Energy and Options packages had the strongest 14-day forecasts this week. One stock returned 26.24% in this time horizon. HNR and WNR also returned 18.68% and 11.11%. The averages for these packages were 5.87% and 2.58% which outperformed the S&P 500's -0.11% and 0.13%.
5. Monthlong Returns Over 70% In the last month, these packages gave the highest returns: Fundamental and Brazil. The greatest return came from MTL returning 70.28%. GOL and PBR also returned a high 36.57% and 31.98%. These 30-day forecasts averaged 18.58% and 17.63% which outdid the S&P 500's 0.10% and -0.99%.
6. Three-Month Return Over 150%: The Energy and Fundamental were the highest performing 90-day packages this week. CWEI was the strongest earner with 200.58%.GOL and GGB also gave strong returns of 58.16% and 54.19%. 29.88% and 22.68% were these packages average returns against the S&P 500's -1.47% and -1.09%.
7. Nearly Triple Return in a Year: Our highest returning yearlong forecasts came from the Brazilian Stocks and Dividend Stocks packages. The top performing company came from our Brazilian forecast at 188.95%. The highest return from the Dividends Stocks forecast was almost 60%. The overall averages for the brazil and dividend stocks were 69.81% and 37.48%, respectively.
8. Short-Term Trading Reaches 58.75% This short-term trading report details I Know First's results from January 7th, 2016, to September 30th, 2016. I Know First yielded results up to 58.75% while the S&P returned only 8.94% in the same time horizon. Read the full report for a more detailed analysis with charts and graphs, depicting a high reward to risk payoff with low Betas and high Sharpe Ratios.
On June 5th, 2016, an I Know First analyst published an article about MSFT. He believed Microsoft is trying to grow their Windows 10 Mobile strategy. They also gave away Xamarin for developers to make games. but it requires a strong coding background to do so. Both the analyst and algorithm were bullish for MSFT in the long-run. Since then, MSFT increased 15% proving both predictions correct.
A little over a month ago, an analyst at I Know First wrote this article analyzing MPEL. MPEL has increased 15% before the article was written and the analyst believed it would continue to rise. Macau has seen a recovery in gambling revenue which initially boosted the stock price. As revenue continues to increase, the I Know First analyst believed MPEL's stock price will continue to grow. The I Know First algorithm also predicted a stark jump in stock price. MPEL increased 10% since the algorithm gave the bullish signal.
This article analyzing GLUU for a potential short stock lists reasons why the stock will decrease. A lack of top ranked games augured dwindling revenue for the company. Without another big game title, GLUU will see large decreases in both revenue and stock price. The I Know First algorithm also rated GLUU a sell. The stock has decreased 11% since the article was published proving both predictions correct.
Following the development of Dr. Lipa Roitman's understanding of relying on the 5-day simple moving average as a secondary trigger for entry and exit, the I Know First R&D team has developed a complementary model to support his thesis. We tested the model from July 1st 2014 to June 30th 2015, a period of one year. Using the strategy stock investors made a return of 34%. The strategies annual deviation was 18.17% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.77. Similarly the strategy Interest Rate investors made a return of 40.11%. The strategies annual deviation was 20.33% which results in a Sharpe ratio of 1.87. With currencies we filter our to G10 pairs and apply a 10x leverage. Here the strategy worked particularly well resulting in a total return of 504%, annual standard deviation of 36.73% and Sharpe ration of 13.46.
You can find the full report and data & the combined hedge fund stats HERE.
Upgrade Notes: Introducing the new Algorithmic Strategy Interface
I Know First R&D team is happy to announce that we are now supporting a highly interactive user interface to support your strategy and automate processes. This guide will review some of the new features and how to use them.
Many of our subscribers read the article “I Know First Algorithm Performance Analysis (Part 2)” which discussed how to integrate algorithmic signals with market momentum to lower your risk and maximize your returns. Since then we have released various videos and articles discussing this strategy.
Many implemented it, however were a little deterred by the complexity of it, as it really does require you to follow the price of every recommendation on a daily basis. Our team has tediously been working to integrate a module into excel which would allow you to trade according to the 5-day simple moving average swing model with ease.
