Stock Market Forecast Based on AI-Based Predictive Algorithm
- April 30th, 2017 -
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1. Stocks With Triple Digit Return in 1 Year
In the By Country - Brazilian Stocks forecast for the 1 Year time horizon, 9 of the 10 stocks were predicted accurately. The biggest return from this forecast was from GOL, which increased an astonishing 355.91%. VALE, BRF, and CPL were other top performing stocks, with exceptional returns of 78.33%, 59.67%, and 57.35%. The average return of the forecast was 70.39%, while the S&P 500 return for the year was 14.35%. Also for the 1 Year time horizon, the Tech Stocks forecast had an average return of 61.20%. The best performing index was the AMD, which increased by 238.10%. Other top performing indices were the INVE and the NANO, which increased 178.44% and 93.87%. AMD was also the top performing stock with a return of 229.07% from the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast.  This overall forecast had a market premium of 47.5%.

2. 3 Day Forecasts Result In Top Picks With At Least 24% Return
In its given 3 Days time period, the Medicine Stocks forecast revealed the top performing stock as ORMP with a return of 27.29%.  The BioTech Stocks forecast achieved a 9 out of 10, correctly picking a long position for ORMP, which yielded 27.29%. The I Know First's algorithm also successfully selected long positions in the Risk-Conscious - Aggressive Stocks Forecast for RTK and DUST.  Both which also achieved growth with a return of 24.89% and 18.15%, respectively.


3. Stock Price Predictor Results in Nearly 40% Return in 1 Week
I Know First's 7 Days portfolio posted positive returns. The highest yield came from the By Region – European Socks forecast yielding KN.PA, returning 18.51%. PTN yielded 18.89% from the Pharma Stocks forecast and ORMP resulted in a 18.14% return. The 2 highest yielding stocks from Fundamental - Low Short Ratio Stocks forecast came from VHC posting 39.58% return and RMTI at 23.43%.
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4. Double Digit Return in 2 Weeks
The 14 Days 52 Weeks High Stocks forecast selected stock: MDXG, this resulted in a 18.16%. The second top performer was SYX, with a return of 13.36%. During this time period for the 2 weeks forecast, the S&P 500 had a return of 2.37%. In the Computer Industry Stocks forecast, the forecast had an average return of 5.51%, more than twice the amount of the S&P 500 return of 1.87%. SSYS was the top performing stock with a return of 18.24%, while LOGM increased 10.19%. Lastly, in the Top 10 Stocks forecast, the top performers were: LB and SWFT, with returns of 10.46% and 10.27%, respectively.

5. Stock Rises beyond 70% Return in 1 Month
Investors were able to reach, in 1 Month, a 49.33% return in from PLUG with this Small Cap Stocks forecast. The forecast had an overall average of 12.38%, above the S&P 500 Index return of 1.09%. Additional high 1 Month returns came from this Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast, which had an overall average of 10.69% and returns up to 72.06%. PLUG was also the top performing stock. The highest yielding stock in the Top 10 Stocks forecast on the other hand came from AKRX, with a return of nearly 48%.


6. Overall Forecast Return at least 15% in 3 Months
GNCMA was the top performing stock for a trio of 3 Months, as the stock price soared during that time. The 3 Months Insiders Stocks forecast had an incredible average return of 25.70%. GNCMA had an astonishing return of 84.19%, while IMGN and JAZZ also had excellent returns of 68.95% and 23.95%. IMGN also increased 77.87% in the 3 Months Medicine Stocks forecast. It had an average return of 18.51%, as 9 of the 10 stocks. These included IMGN and BCR, which increased 77.87% and 29.07%. In the HealthCare Stocks forecast, IMGN increased 79.75%, while TARO and AGN jumped 15.74% and 15.63%. Once again, the average return of 15.97% was much greater than the S&P 500 return of 4.01%. 



 
 
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  1. Defying critics, I Know First remained bullish for Apple. The iPhone 7 sold well, but the one product that stood out was the iPhone SE. The iPhone SE's success shows Apple's success in diversification. Despite drawbacks in the past, Apple's fundamental continues to impress. Since the article's release on August 11, 2016, the stock has increased by 33%. 
  2. Many were critical of Tesla's unpopular decision to acquire SolarCity, some were skeptical of Tesla's ability to mass produce the Model 3. Nevertheless, the popularity of the car and the company's potential growth in the Chinese market, contributes to Tesla's rise. On September 20, 2016, I Know First wrote a bullish article on the company.  Since the forecast, the stock has increased by 52.21%.
  3. Hewlett-Packard continues to solidify itself as the largest in the $55 billion dollar global hardcopy peripherals industry.  The company's acquisition of Samsung's printer business in September 2016 decreased competition and gave Hewlett-Packard access to over 6,500 patents from Samsung. Since writing a bullish article on September 23, 2016, the stock has increased by 24.47%.
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As a continuation of our back-test report series, previously focused on daily trading, recent developments on the utilization of I Know First’s AI-based forecasting signals for less frequent systematic trading are presented in this article. These are highly performing and scalable strategies, average holding period of 4.5 to 30 days, that are suitable for mutual fund products and other investment vehicles.

 

Stock Predictions: Short Term Trading  

The following back test results of four strategies in this context are given for the S&P 500 stocks universe since the beginning of 2016. At most 20 highest ranked stocks per day (if available) are traded in each case, the equity lines represent the values of corresponding equally weighted and daily rebalanced baskets of stocks, set up to outperform the broader universe.  

 

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